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Championship header 2

League Two
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 32
Feb 15, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Salford City

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
Salford City

Stevens (65')
Smith (11'), Bugiel (70'), Browne (77'), Kelly (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Fornah (24'), Garbutt (72'), Taylor (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 3-0 Crewe
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in League Two

Salford City

All competitions
Last Game: Salford City 2-0 Tranmere
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Salford City

 With both teams having put together unbeaten runs of late, this has all the makings of being a highly-competitive encounter. Taking that into consideration, we are backing a low-scoring draw, a result that does not really suit either side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 50.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Salford City had a probability of 23.27%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Salford City win it was 0-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AFC Wimbledon in this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawSalford City
50.09% (0.152 0.15) 26.64% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 23.27% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 45.42% (0.117 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.77% (0.195 0.2)58.22% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.13% (0.153 0.15)78.87% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.64% (0.15300000000001 0.15)23.36% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.67% (0.224 0.22)57.33% (-0.224 -0.22)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.27% (0.033999999999999 0.03)40.73% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.68% (0.032 0.03)77.32% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 50.09%
    Salford City 23.27%
    Draw 26.63%
AFC WimbledonDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 13.83% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.88% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.38% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.77% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 50.09%
1-1 @ 12.42% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.52% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.06% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 26.63%
0-1 @ 8.55% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.58% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.84% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.67%
2-3 @ 1.22% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 23.27%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Salford City

AFC Wimbledon
88.9%
Draw
0.0%
Salford City
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
Salford City
1-0
AFC Wimbledon
Luamba (84')
Robinson (13'), Garbutt (48'), N'Mai (51'), Ashley (74'), Kouassi (81')

Neufville (12'), Harbottle (39'), Hippolyte (51'), Furlong (63')
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Salford City
Bugiel (70')
Johnson (81'), Neufville (90+7'), Brown (90+6')

McAleny (7'), McLennan (24'), Watt (32'), Garbutt (33'), Watson (45+2'), Lund (45+5'), Tilt (65'), (90+10')
Watt (90+9'), Vassell (90+9')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Salford City
0-0
AFC Wimbledon
N'Mai (71'), Garbutt (88')
Reeves (9')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
AFC Wimbledon
2-3
Salford City
McAteer (7'), Al-Hamadi (58')
McAleny (55'), Hendry (90+5', 90+6')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Salford City
0-0
AFC Wimbledon
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall37209867432469
2Bradford CityBradford37199948311766
3AFC Wimbledon371891049262363
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster371891054441063
5Notts County3717101056391761
6Port Vale361613747371061
7Colchester UnitedColchester371416745331258
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe37141584538757
9Grimsby Town37175155154-356
10Salford City371411124441353
11Bromley371313114845352
12Chesterfield361491358441451
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham371311135154-350
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood371213124946349
15Swindon TownSwindon371114125555047
16Newport CountyNewport37137174861-1346
17BarrowBarrow36128164043-344
18MK Dons36126184653-742
19Gillingham36119163139-842
20Accrington StanleyAccrington371010174555-1040
21Harrogate TownHarrogate37117192948-1940
22Tranmere RoversTranmere37812172855-2736
23Morecambe3786233356-2330
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3669212653-2727
> League Two Full Table


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