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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 33.14% ( | 28% ( | 38.86% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.51% ( | 58.49% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.93% ( | 79.07% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.13% ( | 32.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.56% ( | 69.43% ( |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.75% ( | 29.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.8% ( | 65.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 10.69% ( 2-1 @ 7.32% 2-0 @ 5.95% ( 3-1 @ 2.71% 3-0 @ 2.21% ( 3-2 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 33.13% | 1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 9.61% ( 2-2 @ 4.5% ( Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.99% | 0-1 @ 11.81% 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0-2 @ 7.26% ( 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0-3 @ 2.98% ( 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.63% Total : 38.85% |