League Two Gameweek 9
Feb 11, 2025 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Kingsmeadow
  • Mathew Stevens 41' goal
  • Jake Reeves 45'+2' goal
  • Mathew Stevens 56' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Lowery 5'
  • yellowcard Zac Williams 21'
  • redcard Jamie Knight-Lebel 39'
  • yellowcard Max Conway 71'
  • yellowcard Jack Powell 77'

AFC Wimbledon vs Crewe Alexandra - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2025 3.00pm
Accrington 0 - 0 AFC Wimbledon
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Mathew Stevens

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2025 3.00pm
Crewe 0 - 3 Newport
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Jack Lankester

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.3%) and 2-1 (7.91%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result

AFC Wimbledon 41.31% (+0.58)
Draw 29.33% (-0.08)
Crewe Alexandra 29.35% (-0.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.72% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 36.15% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 63.85% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 16.92% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 83.07% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 6.63% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 93.37% (-0.05)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 69.53% (+0.40)
Under 0.5 30.47% (-0.39)
Over 1.5 33.32% (+0.47)
Under 1.5 66.68% (-0.46)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5 61.44% (-0.32)
Under 0.5 38.56% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 24.7% (-0.31)
Under 1.5 75.3% (+0.32)

Score analysis

AFC Wimbledon 41.31%
Draw 29.32%
Crewe Alexandra 29.35%
AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 13.96% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 8.3% (+0.15)
2-1 @ 7.91% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 3.29% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 3.13% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.49% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 41.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.3% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 11.74% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 3.77% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.32%
Crewe Alexandra
0-1 @ 11.19% (-0.16)
1-2 @ 6.34% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 5.34% (-0.12)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 29.35%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Alexandra Stadium
  • Jamie Knight-Lebel 14' goal
  • Matus Holicek 74' yellowcard
  • goal Josh Neufville 45'+1'
League Two Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Alexandra Stadium
  • Rio Adebisi 13' goal
  • Elliott Nevitt 85' yellowcard
  • Chris Long 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal John-Kymani Gordon 2'
  • yellowcard John-Joe O'Toole 63'
  • yellowcard Josh Davison 87'
League Two Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Kingsmeadow
  • Josh Neufville 30' goal
  • James Tilley 38' goal
  • Isaac Ogundere 52' yellowcard
  • Jack Currie 57' yellowcard
  • goal Joel Tabiner 51'
  • yellowcard Joe White 90'+7'
  • goal Elliott Nevitt 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Aaron Rowe 90'+13'
League Two Gameweek 43
Jan 7, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Alexandra Stadium
League Two Gameweek 13
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Cherry Red Records Stadium
  • Ayoub Assal 45'+1' goal
  • goal Rio Adebisi 62'
League One Gameweek 43
Apr 15, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Mikael Mandron 60' goal
  • Chris Long 62' goal
  • Bassala Sambou 90'+8' goal
  • goal Sam Cosgrove 19'