League Two

League Two | Gameweek 9

Feb 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Kingsmeadow

AFC Wimbledon
3 - 0
Crewe

Stevens (41' pen., 56'), Reeves (45+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Lowery (5'), Williams (21'), Conway (71'), Powell (77')
Knight-Lebel (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

Last Game: Accrington 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Newport
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.3%) and 2-1 (7.91%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
41.31% ( 0.57)	29.33% ( -0.08)	29.35% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 42.72% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.15% (

0.12)

63.85% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.92% (

0.09)

83.07% (

-0.08)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.53% (

0.39)

30.47% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.32% (

0.46)

66.68% (

-0.46)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.44% (

-0.32)

38.56% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.7% (

-0.31)

75.3% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 41.31%

Crewe Alexandra 29.35%

Draw 29.32%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 13.96% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.33% Total : 41.31%	1-1 @ 13.3% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 11.74% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( -0) Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.32%	0-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.58% Total : 29.35%