League Two

League Two | Gameweek 31

Feb 8, 2025 at 3pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
0 - 3
Newport

Thibaut (90')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Antwi (33'), Ajiboye (45+2'), Baker-Richardson (82')
Ajiboye (60'), Thomas (66'), Antwi (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

Last Game: Harrogate 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Newport 2-1 Morecambe
Tuesday, February 4 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 60.68%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 16.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Newport County
60.68% ( 0.42)	23.03% ( -0.07)	16.28% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 45.01% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.79% (

-0.29)

53.2% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.23% (

-0.25)

74.77% (

0.25)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.83% (

0.04)

17.17% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.58% (

0.08)

47.42% (

-0.08)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.34% (

-0.63)

45.66% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.54% (

-0.5)

81.46% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 60.68%

Newport County 16.28%

Draw 23.03%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 13.81% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 12.17% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 60.68%	1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.63% Total : 23.03%	0-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.4% Total : 16.28%