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AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Bradford City

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
Bradford

Tilley (13', 13')
Johnson (42'), Lewis (71'), Smith (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Richards (31')
Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Bradford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 1-1 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AFC Wimbledon in this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawBradford City
40.07% (-0.267 -0.27)27.86% (0.047000000000001 0.05)32.07% (0.226 0.23)
Both teams to score 47.67% (-0.07 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.84% (-0.119 -0.12)58.16% (0.124 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.19% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)78.82% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.61% (-0.206 -0.21)28.39% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.87% (-0.263 -0.26)64.14% (0.268 0.27)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.56% (0.099000000000004 0.1)33.44% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.93% (0.107 0.11)70.07% (-0.102 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 40.07%
    Bradford City 32.07%
    Draw 27.85%
AFC WimbledonDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 11.95% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.53% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.46% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 40.07%
1-1 @ 13.09% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.49% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.85%
0-1 @ 10.39% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.17% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.7% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.08% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 32.07%

Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 7
Bradford
0-0
AFC Wimbledon
Wright (90+2'), Smallwood (90+3'), Cook (90+3')
Hippolyte (90+3'), Lewis (90+3')
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Bradford
0-0
AFC Wimbledon
Smallwood (38'), McDonald (80'), Kavanagh (90+1')
Brown (24'), Ogundere (45'), Bugiel (45+2'), Little (77')
Oct 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
AFC Wimbledon
0-1
Bradford

Davison (17'), Lewis (58'), Ogundere (69')
Osadebe (62')
Platt (7'), Smallwood (30')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Bradford
2-2
AFC Wimbledon
Banks (4'), Oliver (90+5')
Pell (58'), Chislett (76')
rhs 2.0


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