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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 61.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 16.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 61.95% ( | 21.69% ( | 16.36% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.11% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.23% ( | 47.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.04% ( | 69.97% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.12% ( | 14.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.77% ( | 43.23% ( |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.69% ( | 42.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.3% ( | 78.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.99% 2-0 @ 11.42% ( 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 3-0 @ 7.26% ( 3-1 @ 6.24% ( 4-0 @ 3.46% ( 4-1 @ 2.97% ( 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 5-0 @ 1.32% ( 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 5-1 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.36% Total : 61.94% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 2-2 @ 4.23% ( Other @ 0.85% Total : 21.69% | 0-1 @ 5.42% ( 1-2 @ 4.44% ( 0-2 @ 2.33% ( 1-3 @ 1.27% ( 2-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 1.7% Total : 16.36% |