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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.64%) and 2-1 (7.52%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 38.52% | 29.82% | 31.65% ( |
| Both teams to score 42.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.16% ( | 64.83% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.22% ( | 83.77% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.35% ( | 32.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.81% ( | 69.19% ( |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.67% ( | 37.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.88% ( | 74.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 13.64% 2-0 @ 7.64% ( 2-1 @ 7.52% ( 3-0 @ 2.85% 3-1 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 38.52% | 1-1 @ 13.44% 0-0 @ 12.18% 2-2 @ 3.71% ( Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.81% | 0-1 @ 12% 1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0-2 @ 5.92% 1-3 @ 2.18% 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.77% Total : 31.64% |