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Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 33
Feb 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
AFC Wimbledon

Colchester
1 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Tovide (89')
Taylor (6'), Edwards (25'), Iandolo (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Browne (39')
Browne (21'), Ogundere (60'), Tilley (65'), Johnson (67'), Lewis (77'), Goodman (83')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Colchester United and AFC Wimbledon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 1-1 Colchester
Tuesday, February 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, February 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.64%) and 2-1 (7.52%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
38.52%29.82%31.65% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 42.21% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.16% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)64.83% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.22% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)83.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)32.65% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.19% (0.0020000000000095 0)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)37.33% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)74.11% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 38.52%
    AFC Wimbledon 31.64%
    Draw 29.81%
Colchester UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 13.64%
2-0 @ 7.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 7.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 2.85%
3-1 @ 2.81%
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 38.52%
1-1 @ 13.44%
0-0 @ 12.18%
2-2 @ 3.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 29.81%
0-1 @ 12%
1-2 @ 6.62% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 5.92%
1-3 @ 2.18%
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 31.64%

Head to Head
Dec 10, 2024 7.45pm
Second Round
Colchester
2-0
AFC Wimbledon
Taylor (6', 33')
Macey (90+3')

Harbottle (40'), Bugiel (78')
Aug 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 1
AFC Wimbledon
4-2
Colchester
Ball (13'), Reeves (30'), Stevens (38' pen.), Bugiel (54')
Lewis (35'), Reeves (66'), Ball (83'), Johnson (90+7'), Goodman (90+1')
Goodliffe (1', 9')
Hunt (40')
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
AFC Wimbledon
5-3
Colchester
Davison (4', 52'), Lewis (42', 90+2'), Al-Hamadi (67')
Davison (71'), Biler (80'), Bugiel (81')
McGeehan (7'), Taylor (25'), Dallison (90+4')
Chilvers (39'), McGeehan (71')
McGeehan (89')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Colchester
0-2
AFC Wimbledon

Egbo (83'), Ihionvien (89'), Read (90+5')
Tilley (54', 85')
Ogundere (65'), Tilley (67'), Davison (74')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Colchester
1-2
AFC Wimbledon
Akinde (51' pen.)
Davison (67'), Chislett (89')