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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 51.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 23.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Colchester United |
| 51.31% ( | 25.19% ( | 23.49% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.7% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.26% ( | 52.74% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.63% ( | 74.37% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.44% ( | 20.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.92% ( | 53.08% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.56% ( | 37.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.78% ( | 74.21% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 12.17% ( 2-0 @ 9.63% ( 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 3-0 @ 5.08% ( 3-1 @ 4.99% ( 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 4-2 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.58% Total : 51.3% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0-0 @ 7.7% ( 2-2 @ 4.65% ( Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.56% ( 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0-2 @ 3.72% ( 1-3 @ 1.93% ( 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 1.68% Total : 23.5% |