League Two Gameweek 32
Feb 13, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
  • Ronan Curtis 85' goal

Port Vale vs Notts County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2025 12.30pm
Swindon 3 - 3 Port Vale
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Lorent Tolaj

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2025 3.00pm
Notts County 2 - 0 Morecambe
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Alassana Jatta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Notts County win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result

Port Vale 38.81% (+0.02)
Draw 25.18% (-0.01)
Notts County 36.01% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.07% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.48% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 46.52% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 31.2% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 68.8% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 15.51% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 84.49% (-0.01)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 76.3% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 23.69% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 42.19% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 57.81% (-0.03)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 74.79% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 25.21% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 40.05% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 59.95% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Port Vale 38.81%
Draw 25.17%
Notts County 36.01%
Port Vale
1-0 @ 8.6%
2-1 @ 8.53% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.19% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.1% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.97% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.47% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.07% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 38.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.85%
0-0 @ 5.97% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.88% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.3% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.17%
Notts County
0-1 @ 8.23% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.67% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 2.61% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 36.01%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Matthew Platt 11' yellowcard
  • Scott Robertson 22' yellowcard
  • Kellan Gordon 67' yellowcard
  • goal Lorent Tolaj 23'
  • yellowcard Ronan Curtis 33'
  • yellowcard Ruari Paton 54'
  • yellowcard Brandon Cover 77'
  • yellowcard Connor Hall 77'
League Two Gameweek 35
Mar 2, 2019 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium (Nottingham, Nottinghamshire)
  • yellowcard Tom Conlon 40'
  • yellowcard Tom Pope 62'
League Two Gameweek 17
Nov 3, 2018 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Vale Park (Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire)
  • Luke Hannant 13' goal
  • Tom Pope 89' goal
  • goal Kane Hemmings 22'
  • yellowcard Matt Tootle 30'
  • yellowcard Enzio Boldewijn 84'
  • goal Elliott Ward 87'
League Two
Jan 1, 2018 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Richard Duffy 31' yellowcard
  • Elliott Hewitt 74' yellowcard
  • Jon Stead 86' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Pope 56'
  • yellowcard Joe Davis 90'
League Two
Sep 2, 2017 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • David Worrall 92' yellowcard
  • goal Lewis Alessandra 67'
  • yellowcard Elliott Hewitt 88'
League One
Feb 28, 2015 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Liam Noble 38' yellowcard
  • Hayden Mullins 38' yellowcard
  • goal Mark Marshall 7'
  • yellowcard Chris Neal 38'
  • yellowcard Tom Pope 40'
  • yellowcard Ryan Inniss 40'