League Two

League Two | Gameweek 32

Feb 13, 2025 at 8pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
1 - 0
Notts County

Curtis (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Port Vale and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Swindon 3-3 Port Vale
Saturday, February 8 at 12.30pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Notts County

All competitions

Last Game: Notts County 2-0 Morecambe
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Notts County win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Notts County
38.81% ( 0.02)	25.18% ( -0)	36.01% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 57.07% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.48% (

0.01)

46.52% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.2% (

0.01)

68.8% (

-0.01)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.3% (

0.01)

23.69% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.19% (

0.02)

57.81% (

-0.02)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.79% (

-0)

25.21% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.05% (

-0)

59.95% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 38.81%

Notts County 36.01%

Draw 25.17%

Port Vale	Draw	Notts County
1-0 @ 8.6% 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.19% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 38.81%	1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 5.97% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.17%	0-1 @ 8.23% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.7% 0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.66% Total : 36.01%