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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 32
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Colchester United

Carlisle
0 - 0
Colchester


Patching (31'), McArthur (41')
FT

McDonnell (28'), Simpson (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 1-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 2-1 Walsall
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Carlisle United 0-1 Colchester United

Carlisle United have been in freefall since the turn of the year and could be cut adrift very soon unless Hughes can find a way to stop the rot. Unfortunately for the Cumbrians, they are about to face one of the most in-form sides in the league at the moment, and we feel they will leave this match empty-handed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawColchester United
28.45% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 27.01% (0.0010000000000012 0) 44.54% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.7% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)56.3% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.67% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)77.33% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.85% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)35.15% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.09% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)71.9% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (0.0040000000000049 0)25.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.13% (0.007000000000005 0.01)59.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 28.45%
    Colchester United 44.54%
    Draw 27%
Carlisle UnitedDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 9.24% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 6.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.68% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 28.45%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 8.84% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27%
0-1 @ 12.2% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.81% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 8.42% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.88% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 44.54%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Colchester

Carlisle United
28.6%
Draw
14.3%
Colchester United
57.1%
7
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
Colchester
0-0
Carlisle
McDonnell (82'), Flanagan (82')
Lavelle (2'), Harper (25'), Mellish (49')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Colchester
1-1
Carlisle
Chilvers (19')
Dennis (44')
Back (74'), Barclay (82')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Colchester
2-2
Carlisle
Smith (69'), Wright (74')
Chambers (70')
Patrick (51'), Sho-Silva (86')
Riley (33'), Roberts (41'), Mellish (65')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 1
Carlisle
0-0
Colchester
Mellish (41'), Whelan (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall37209867432469
2Bradford CityBradford37199948311766
3AFC Wimbledon371891049262363
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster371891054441063
5Notts County3717101056391761
6Port Vale361613747371061
7Colchester UnitedColchester371416745331258
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe37141584538757
9Grimsby Town37175155154-356
10Salford City371411124441353
11Bromley371313114845352
12Chesterfield361491358441451
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham371311135154-350
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood371213124946349
15Swindon TownSwindon371114125555047
16Newport CountyNewport37137174861-1346
17BarrowBarrow36128164043-344
18MK Dons36126184653-742
19Gillingham36119163139-842
20Accrington StanleyAccrington371010174555-1040
21Harrogate TownHarrogate37117192948-1940
22Tranmere RoversTranmere37812172855-2736
23Morecambe3786233356-2330
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3669212653-2727


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