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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Colchester United |
| 28.45% ( | 27.01% ( | 44.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.7% ( | 56.3% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.67% ( | 77.33% ( |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.85% ( | 35.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.09% ( | 71.9% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.85% ( | 25.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.13% ( | 59.86% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 9.24% ( 2-1 @ 6.67% ( 2-0 @ 4.83% ( 3-1 @ 2.32% ( 3-0 @ 1.68% ( 3-2 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 2.09% Total : 28.45% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.84% ( 2-2 @ 4.6% ( Other @ 0.81% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 12.2% ( 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0-2 @ 8.42% ( 1-3 @ 4.05% ( 0-3 @ 3.88% ( 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0-4 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 44.54% |