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Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 32
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Colchester United

Carlisle
0 - 0
Colchester


Patching (31'), McArthur (41')
FT

McDonnell (28'), Simpson (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 1-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawColchester United
28.45% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)27.01% (0.0010000000000012 0)44.54% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.7% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)56.3% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.67% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)77.33% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.85% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)35.15% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.09% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)71.9% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (0.0040000000000049 0)25.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.13% (0.007000000000005 0.01)59.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 28.45%
    Colchester United 44.54%
    Draw 27%
Carlisle UnitedDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 9.24% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 6.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.68% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 28.45%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 8.84% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27%
0-1 @ 12.2% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.81% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 8.42% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.88% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 44.54%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Colchester

Carlisle United
28.6%
Draw
14.3%
Colchester United
57.1%
7
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
Colchester
0-0
Carlisle
McDonnell (82'), Flanagan (82')
Lavelle (2'), Harper (25'), Mellish (49')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Colchester
1-1
Carlisle
Chilvers (19')
Dennis (44')
Back (74'), Barclay (82')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Colchester
2-2
Carlisle
Smith (69'), Wright (74')
Chambers (70')
Patrick (51'), Sho-Silva (86')
Riley (33'), Roberts (41'), Mellish (65')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 1
Carlisle
0-0
Colchester
Mellish (41'), Whelan (58')