League Two

League Two | Gameweek 31

Feb 8, 2025 at 3pm UK

Blundell Park

Grimsby Town
2 - 1
Carlisle

Obikwu (62'), Rose (83' pen.)
Khouri (71')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lavelle (5')
Hugill (44'), Lavelle (51'), Embleton (75'), Robson (82'), Thomas (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions

Last Game: Bromley 0-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Carlisle 1-5 Swindon
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Grimsby Town	Draw	Carlisle United
42.23% ( 0.02)	26.65% ( 0.01)	31.12% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 50.92% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.13% (

-0.04)

53.87% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.67% (

-0.03)

75.33% (

0.03)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.77% (

-0.01)

25.23% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.03% (

-0.01)

59.97% (

0.01)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.1% (

-0.04)

31.9% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.66% (

-0.05)

68.34% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Grimsby Town 42.23%

Carlisle United 31.12%

Draw 26.65%

Grimsby Town	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.72% 2-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.5% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 42.23%	1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.65%	0-1 @ 9.2% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 31.12%