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Championship header 2

League Two

AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Notts County

AFC Wimbledon
2 - 0
Notts County

Lewis (21'), Smith (35')
Bugiel (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Palmer (70')
Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League Two

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Barrow
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Notts County win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawNotts County
46.6% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)25.78% (0.011000000000003 0.01)27.63% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.65% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.99% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)52.01% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.26% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)73.74% (0.02300000000001 0.02)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)22.3% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.23% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)55.77% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.48% (0.012 0.01)33.52% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.84% (0.013000000000002 0.01)70.16% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 46.59%
    Notts County 27.63%
    Draw 25.78%
AFC WimbledonDrawNotts County
1-0 @ 11.21%
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 8.42% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.21% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.58% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 46.59%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.48% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 8.17% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.47% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 27.63%

Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Notts County
1-0
AFC Wimbledon
Platt (67')
Macarai (13'), Platt (64'), Abbott (90+1')

Harbottle (9'), Furlong (90')
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Notts County
0-2
AFC Wimbledon

O'Brien (24'), Cameron (60')
Rawlinson (80' og.), Balmer (85')
O'Toole (15'), Tilley (20'), Reeves (33'), Bugiel (55'), Bass (90+5')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
AFC Wimbledon
4-2
Notts County
Reeves (29' pen., 86' pen.), Al-Hamadi (41', 90+2')
Lewis (22'), Currie (38')
Langstaff (62'), Nemane (67')
Jones (45+4')
Jan 23, 2016 3pm
Notts County
0-2
AFC Wimbledon

Milsom (45')
Elliott (9'), Barcham (83')
Rigg (59')
Sep 19, 2015 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
2-1
Notts County
Bulman (85'), Akinfenwa (90')
Reeves (27'), Fuller (79'), Francomb (88')
Hollis (16')
Amevor (11'), Swerts (45'), Snijders (68'), Burke (82')