Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 60.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 17.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.