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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 43.25%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 28.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Gillingham |
| 43.25% ( | 28.67% | 28.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.8% ( | 62.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.12% ( | 81.88% ( |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.43% ( | 28.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.63% ( | 64.37% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.32% ( | 38.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.58% ( | 75.42% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barrow | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 13.84% ( 2-0 @ 8.67% ( 2-1 @ 8.24% 3-0 @ 3.62% ( 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.59% Total : 43.25% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 11.05% ( 2-2 @ 3.91% ( Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.67% | 0-1 @ 10.49% 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0-2 @ 4.99% ( 1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0-3 @ 1.58% ( 2-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 1.55% Total : 28.07% |