Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 43.25%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 28.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.