League Two Gameweek 34
Feb 27, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Dunes Hotel Stadium
  • Kyle Cameron 36' yellowcard
  • Niall Canavan 81' yellowcard
  • goal Matthew Dennis 19'
  • yellowcard Matthew Dennis 87'
  • yellowcard Archie Davies 90'+2'

Barrow vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Barrow

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2025 12.30pm
Crewe 3 - 0 Barrow
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Emile Acauah

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm
Carlisle 0 - 0 Gillingham
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Matthew Dennis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result

Barrow 45.02% (+0.21)
Draw 27.23% (-0.07)
Carlisle United 27.75% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.47% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.54% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 57.46% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 21.74% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 78.26% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 9.36% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 90.65% (-0.08)

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5 74.57% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 25.43% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 39.75% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 60.25% (-0.24)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 63.66% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 36.34% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 26.87% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 73.13% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Barrow 45.02%
Draw 27.23%
Carlisle United 27.75%
Barrow
1-0 @ 12.65% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.77% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.66% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.95% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.03% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.37% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.35% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 45.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.24% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.44% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.23%
Carlisle United
0-1 @ 9.36% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.74% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.5% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 27.75%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Charlie Wyke 24' yellowcard
  • Daniel Adu-Adjei 35' goal
  • Aaron Hayden 43' yellowcard
  • Ben Barclay 62' yellowcard
  • Archie Davies 82' yellowcard
  • Josh Vela 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Theo Vassell 37'
  • yellowcard Robbie Gotts 45'+2'
League Two Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Dunes Hotel Stadium
  • goal Ben Barclay 16'
League Two Gameweek 21
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
5
1
HT : 1 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Jon Mellish 44' goal
  • Joe Garner 50' goal
  • Jon Mellish 67' goal
  • Omari Patrick 72' goal
  • Kristian Dennis 89' goal
  • goal Ben Barclay 84' (OG)
EFL Trophy
Oct 18, 2022 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Dunes Hotel Stadium
  • Josh Kay 69' goal
  • Sam Foley 80' goal
League Two Gameweek 38
Mar 19, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Paul Farman 65' yellowcard
  • Oliver Banks 78' goal
  • John Rooney 90' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Gibson 32'
  • yellowcard Jon Mellish 47'
  • goal Kristian Dennis 75'
  • yellowcard Kristian Dennis 76'
  • yellowcard Brennan Dickenson 81'
League Two Gameweek 16
Nov 13, 2021 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Callum Guy 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Gordon 51'
  • yellowcard Jordan Stevens 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Patrick Brough 90'+5'