/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fbarlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fmkdlog.png)
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Kian Spence
10'
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Sam Foley
41'
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Kyle Cameron
62'
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Scott Hogan
8'
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Connor Lemonheigh-Evans
34'
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Callum Hendry
46'
Barrow vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F46%2Fscott-lindsey.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
Result
Barrow
43.81%
▲
(+2.03)
Draw
25.48%
▼
(-0.24)
MK Dons
30.7%
▼
(-1.80)
Both Teams to Score:
54.45%
▲
(+0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.77%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 2.5
49.23%
▼
(-0.36)
Over 3.5
28.71%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 3.5
71.29%
▼
(-0.33)
Over 4.5
13.79%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 4.5
86.21%
▼
(-0.22)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5
77.59%
▲
(+1.14)
Under 0.5
22.41%
▼
(-1.14)
Over 1.5
44.07%
▲
(+1.67)
Under 1.5
55.93%
▼
(-1.68)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5
70.18%
▼
(-1.03)
Under 0.5
29.82%
▲
(+1.02)
Over 1.5
34.09%
▼
(-1.26)
Under 1.5
65.91%
▲
(+1.26)
Score analysis
Barrow
43.81%
Draw
25.48%
MK Dons
30.7%
Barrow
1-0
@
10%
▲
(+0.19)
2-1 @ 9.04% ▲ (+0.22)
2-0 @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.39)
3-1 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.26)
3-0 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.31)
3-2 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.15)
4-0 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.16)
4-2 @ 1.02% ▼ (-94.78)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 43.81%
2-1 @ 9.04% ▲ (+0.22)
2-0 @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.39)
3-1 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.26)
3-0 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.31)
3-2 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.15)
4-0 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.16)
4-2 @ 1.02% ▼ (-94.78)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 43.81%
Draw
1-1
@
12.09%
▼
(-0.11)
0-0 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.48%
0-0 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.48%
MK Dons
0-1
@
8.09%
▼
(-0.36)
1-2 @ 7.32% ▼ (-0.29)
0-2 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.37)
1-3 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.21)
2-3 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 30.7%
1-2 @ 7.32% ▼ (-0.29)
0-2 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.37)
1-3 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.21)
2-3 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 30.7%