League Two

League Two | Gameweek 19

Feb 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

The Dunes Hotel Stadium

Barrow
2 - 1
MK Dons

Spence (10'), Cameron (62')
Foley (41')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hogan (8')
Lemonheigh-Evans (34'), Hendry (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Barrow and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barrow

All competitions

Last Game: Barrow 3-0 Gillingham
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

MK Dons

All competitions

Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Bromley
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result
Barrow	Draw	MK Dons
43.81% ( 2.03)	25.48% ( -0.24)	30.7% ( -1.8)

Both teams to score 54.45% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.77% (

0.36)

49.23% (

-0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.71% (

0.32)

71.29% (

-0.32)

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.59% (

1.13)

22.41% (

-1.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.07% (

1.67)

55.93% (

-1.67)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.18% (

-1.02)

29.82% (

1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.09% (

-1.25)

65.91% (

1.25)

Score Analysis

Barrow 43.81%

MK Dons 30.7%

Draw 25.48%

Barrow	Draw	MK Dons
1-0 @ 10% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.24% Total : 43.81%	1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.48%	0-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.21) Other @ 3.28% Total : 30.7%