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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Barrow |
| 43.3% ( | 27.94% ( | 28.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.49% ( | 59.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.14% ( | 79.86% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.74% ( | 27.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.31% ( | 62.68% ( |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.35% ( | 36.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.57% ( | 73.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Barrow |
| 1-0 @ 12.98% ( 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 2-0 @ 8.44% ( 3-1 @ 3.67% ( 3-0 @ 3.66% ( 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 4-0 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 1.86% Total : 43.3% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0-0 @ 9.99% ( 2-2 @ 4.25% ( Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.94% | 0-1 @ 10.02% ( 1-2 @ 6.54% ( 0-2 @ 5.03% ( 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0-3 @ 1.68% ( 2-3 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 1.85% Total : 28.74% |