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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 32.42% ( | 28.16% ( | 39.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.83% ( | 59.17% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.4% ( | 79.6% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.28% ( | 33.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.62% ( | 70.38% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( | 29.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.8% ( | 65.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 10.71% ( 2-1 @ 7.16% ( 2-0 @ 5.83% ( 3-1 @ 2.6% ( 3-0 @ 2.11% ( 3-2 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 2.41% Total : 32.41% | 1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 9.86% ( 2-2 @ 4.4% ( Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 12.12% ( 1-2 @ 8.1% 0-2 @ 7.45% ( 1-3 @ 3.32% 0-3 @ 3.06% ( 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 1-4 @ 1.02% 0-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 1.6% Total : 39.42% |