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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Barrow |
| 37.48% ( | 28.53% ( | 33.99% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.74% ( | 60.26% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.56% ( | 80.44% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.05% ( | 30.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.75% ( | 67.25% ( |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.79% ( | 33.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.18% ( | 69.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Barrow |
| 1-0 @ 12.05% ( 2-1 @ 7.79% ( 2-0 @ 7.07% ( 3-1 @ 3.05% ( 3-0 @ 2.76% ( 3-2 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 3.08% Total : 37.48% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.27% ( 2-2 @ 4.3% ( Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.52% | 0-1 @ 11.32% 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0-2 @ 6.25% ( 1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0-3 @ 2.3% ( 2-3 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.98% |