Peterborough United
EFL Trophy | Quarter-Finals
Feb 5, 2025 at 7pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Peterborough
3 - 2
Cheltenham

Kyprianou (24'), Odoh (52'), Jade-Jones (69')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Thomas (34'), Miller (45+3')
Bradbury (48'), Adedokun (66'), Stubbs (71'), Jude-Boyd (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Trophy clash between Peterborough United and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-1 Peterborough
Sunday, February 2 at 3pm in League One

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-0 Chesterfield
Saturday, February 1 at 12.30pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 52.8%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 24.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
52.8% (-0.479 -0.48)23.1% (0.423 0.42)24.1% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 57% (-1.38 -1.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.59% (-1.859 -1.86)43.41% (1.861 1.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.19% (-1.856 -1.86)65.81% (1.857 1.86)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.56% (-0.831 -0.83)16.44% (0.835 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.87% (-1.526 -1.53)46.13% (1.529 1.53)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.22% (-0.96300000000001 -0.96)31.78% (0.965 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.79% (-1.117 -1.12)68.21% (1.119 1.12)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 52.8%
    Cheltenham Town 24.1%
    Draw 23.1%
Peterborough UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.43% (0.5 0.5)
2-0 @ 8.52% (0.218 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.87% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-0 @ 5.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-1 @ 2.65% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-0 @ 2.31% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.52% (-0.134 -0.13)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 52.8%
1-1 @ 10.81% (0.3 0.3)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-0 @ 5.23% (0.416 0.42)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.1%
1-2 @ 6.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.99% (0.328 0.33)
0-2 @ 3.43% (0.101 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 24.1%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Cheltenham

Peterborough United
82.1%
Draw
3.6%
Cheltenham Town
14.3%
28
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
Cheltenham
2-0
Peterborough
Nuttall (11'), Taylor (21')
Taylor (74')
> Preview
Sep 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Peterborough
3-0
Cheltenham
Burrows (54'), Clarke-Harris (61'), Kioso (90+4')

Elliott (5'), Butler-Oyedeji (87')
Olayinka (4'), Butler-Oyedeji (88')
> Preview
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Peterborough
0-3
Cheltenham
Bradbury (15'), May (21', 74')
> Preview
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Cheltenham
2-3
Peterborough
Kent (30' og.), May (39')
Jackson (48'), Freestone (89')
Marriott (59'), Clarke-Harris (66', 72')
Fuchs (45+1'), Kent (61')
Sep 5, 2020 3pm
First Round
Peterborough
0-1
Cheltenham

Thompson (38')
Sercombe (59')
Thomas (26')