League One

League One | Gameweek 28

Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK

LNER Stadium

Lincoln
5 - 1
Peterborough

Jefferies (12'), Bayliss (33'), Draper (55' pen.), Hayes (66' og.), Collins (82')
Bayliss (39'), O'Connor (73')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Jade-Jones (60')
Johnston (37'), De Havilland (56'), Susoho (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Lincoln
Saturday, January 18 at 2pm in League One

Goals
for

Peterborough United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Peterborough 1-1 Exeter
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	Peterborough United
46.73% ( 0.18)	25.15% ( -0.07)	28.12% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 53.99% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.88% (

0.23)

49.12% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.81% (

0.21)

71.19% (

-0.2)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.96% (

0.18)

21.04% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.16% (

0.27)

53.84% (

-0.27)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.38% (

0.04)

31.62% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.97% (

0.04)

68.03% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 46.73%

Peterborough United 28.12%

Draw 25.15%

Lincoln City	Draw	Peterborough United
1-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 46.73%	1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.15%	0-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 28.12%