MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 22:23:58| >> :600:761746:761746:
Lincoln City
EFL Trophy | Third Round
Jan 14, 2025 at 7pm UK
LNER Stadium
Bolton logo

Lincoln
0 - 1
Bolton


Erhahon (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Collins (22')
Cogley (35'), Santos (51'), Matete (56'), Schon (90+2')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Third Round clash between Lincoln City and Bolton Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 2-1 Lincoln
Saturday, January 11 at 12pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Rotherham 3-1 Bolton
Saturday, January 11 at 12.30pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawBolton Wanderers
37.99% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 27.26% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01) 34.75% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 50% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.53% (0.037999999999997 0.04)55.47% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.34% (0.032 0.03)76.66% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)28.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.99% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)64.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.73% (0.049999999999997 0.05)30.27% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.56% (0.058999999999997 0.06)66.44% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 37.99%
    Bolton Wanderers 34.75%
    Draw 27.26%
Lincoln CityDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.83% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 37.99%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 8.56% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.26%
0-1 @ 10.23%
1-2 @ 7.72% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.12% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.44% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 34.75%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Bolton

Lincoln City
60.0%
Draw
0.0%
Bolton Wanderers
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Bolton
3-0
Lincoln
Collins (37'), Matete (50', 66')

McGrandles (18'), House (23'), O'Connor (44'), Erhahon (45+1')
Erhahon (45+3')
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Lincoln
0-1
Bolton

Makama (35'), Bishop (53'), Eyoma (88')
Mandroiu (71')
Toal (89')
Dempsey (90+2')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Bolton
3-0
Lincoln
Iredale (4'), Adeboyejo (59'), O'Connor (74' og.)
Sheehan (17'), Maghoma (87'), N'Lundulu (90+7')

House (27'), Eyoma (45+6'), Mandroiu (49')
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Lincoln
1-1
Bolton
House (10')
Toal (58')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Bolton
2-0
Lincoln
Charles (40' pen.), Dadi Bodvarsson (84')
rhs 2.0
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