League One

League One | Gameweek 16

Jan 11, 2025 at 12.30pm UK

AESSEAL New York Stadium

Rotherham
3 - 1
Bolton

Wilks (34' pen.), James (45+6'), Nombe (75')
Humphreys (15'), Evans (16')

FT(HT: 2-0)

McAtee (86')
Santos (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Rotherham United and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rotherham United

All competitions

Last Game: Huddersfield 0-0 Rotherham
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Bolton
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Rotherham United	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
37.82% ( -0.27)	26.25% ( 0.1)	35.93% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 53.37% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.74% (

-0.4)

51.25% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.91% (

-0.35)

73.09% (

0.35)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.6% (

-0.34)

26.4% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.44% (

-0.45)

61.55% (

0.45)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.51% (

-0.09)

27.48% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.01% (

-0.12)

62.98% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Rotherham United 37.82%

Bolton Wanderers 35.93%

Draw 26.25%

Rotherham United	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.3% Total : 37.82%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25%	0-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 35.93%