League One

League One | Gameweek 27

Jan 18, 2025 at 2pm UK

Sixfields Stadium

Northampton
0 - 1
Lincoln

Eyoma (59'), Fosu (64')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Darikwa (38')
House (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Northampton
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Lincoln City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Bolton
Tuesday, January 14 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 47.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 26.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lincoln City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lincoln City.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Lincoln City
26.45% ( 0.23)	26.53% ( 0.11)	47.02% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 48.56% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.4% (

-0.27)

55.6% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.24% (

-0.23)

76.76% (

0.22)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.6% (

0.04)

36.4% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.81% (

0.05)

73.19% (

-0.05)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.36% (

-0.28)

23.64% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.27% (

-0.4)

57.73% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 26.45%

Lincoln City 47.02%

Draw 26.53%

Northampton Town	Draw	Lincoln City
1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.87% Total : 26.45%	1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.53%	0-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.65% Total : 47.02%