League One

League One | Gameweek 25

Jan 4, 2025 at 12.30pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
0 - 1
Northampton

Webster (17')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hoskins (86')
Hoskins (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Burton Albion 2-2 Peterborough
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Northampton Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Northampton 0-0 Stevenage
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Northampton Town
40.61% ( -0.31)	28.53% ( 0.49)	30.85% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 45.38% (

-1.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.17% (

-1.73)

60.83% (

1.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.13% (

-1.32)

80.87% (

1.32)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.62% (

-1.01)

29.38% (

1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.64% (

-1.26)

65.36% (

1.26)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.26% (

-1.05)

35.74% (

1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.48% (

-1.1)

72.51% (

1.1)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 40.61%

Northampton Town 30.85%

Draw 28.52%

Burton Albion	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 12.86% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.54% Total : 40.61%	1-1 @ 13.23% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.52%	0-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.02% Total : 30.85%