Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Peterborough United in this match.