Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 17.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.88%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.