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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 35.18% ( | 24.92% ( | 39.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.54% ( | 45.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.21% ( | 67.8% ( |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.82% ( | 25.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.09% ( | 59.92% ( |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.33% ( | 22.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.68% ( | 56.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 1-0 @ 7.88% ( 2-0 @ 5.43% ( 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 3-0 @ 2.5% ( 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 4-2 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.18% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 3-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.92% | 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0-1 @ 8.48% ( 0-2 @ 6.29% ( 1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0-3 @ 3.11% ( 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0-4 @ 1.15% ( 2-4 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.27% Total : 39.9% |