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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.21%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.46%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (12.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Gillingham |
| 37.21% ( | 29.6% ( | 33.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.09% ( | 63.91% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.88% ( | 83.12% ( |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.01% ( | 32.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.42% ( | 69.58% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.31% ( | 35.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.54% ( | 72.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 13.05% ( 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 2-0 @ 7.24% ( 3-1 @ 2.76% ( 3-0 @ 2.68% ( 3-2 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 37.2% | 1-1 @ 13.45% 0-0 @ 11.77% ( 2-2 @ 3.84% ( Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.59% | 0-1 @ 12.13% ( 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0-2 @ 6.25% ( 1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 2-3 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 2.04% Total : 33.2% |