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Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 33
Feb 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Gillingham

Carlisle
0 - 0
Gillingham


Ellis (80'), Harris (90+1')
FT

Hutton (6'), Hutton (6'), Ehmer (77')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Gillingham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 0-0 Colchester
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-0 Crewe
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.21%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.46%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (12.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawGillingham
37.21% (0.17 0.17)29.6% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)33.2% (-0.158 -0.16)
Both teams to score 43.09% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.09% (0.021999999999998 0.02)63.91% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.88% (0.015000000000001 0.02)83.12% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.01% (0.121 0.12)32.99% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.42% (0.133 0.13)69.58% (-0.131 -0.13)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.31% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)35.69% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.54% (-0.103 -0.1)72.46% (0.105 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 37.2%
    Gillingham 33.2%
    Draw 29.59%
Carlisle UnitedDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 13.05% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.46% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.24% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.76% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.68% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 37.2%
1-1 @ 13.45%
0-0 @ 11.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.59%
0-1 @ 12.13% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.25% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 33.2%

Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 1
Gillingham
4-1
Carlisle
Dieng (2'), Wakeling (48'), Nolan (77'), Williams (87')
Rowe (26'), Wakeling (54'), Turner (71')
Mellish (65')
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
Gillingham
1-0
Carlisle
Williams (90+4')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Carlisle
1-0
Gillingham
Mellish (55')
Gibson (70')

Tutonda (29'), O'Keefe (70')
Dec 19, 2017 7.45pm
Second Round
Carlisle
3-1
Gillingham
Hope (7', 37'), Miller (93')
Liddle (73'), Lambe (86'), Miller (92')
Wagstaff (47')
Clare (25'), Byrne (57'), Parker (66'), Ehmer (77'), O'Neill (91')
Dec 2, 2017 3pm
Second Round
Gillingham
1-1
Carlisle
O'Neill (5')
Clare (40')
Grainger (18' pen.)
rhs 2.0


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