Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 68.66%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 12.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.