Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Colchester United in this match.