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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Colchester United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Colchester United |
| 30.08% ( | 28.29% ( | 41.62% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.75% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.76% ( | 60.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.58% ( | 80.41% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64% ( | 36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.22% ( | 72.78% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.48% ( | 28.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.7% ( | 64.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 10.48% ( 2-1 @ 6.72% ( 2-0 @ 5.36% ( 3-1 @ 2.29% ( 3-0 @ 1.83% ( 3-2 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 1.97% Total : 30.08% | 1-1 @ 13.16% ( 0-0 @ 10.26% ( 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.29% | 0-1 @ 12.88% ( 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0-2 @ 8.08% ( 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0-3 @ 3.38% ( 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0-4 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 1.67% Total : 41.62% |