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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colchester United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Colchester United.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 44.03% ( | 27.24% ( | 28.72% |
| Both teams to score 48.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.97% ( | 57.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.08% ( | 77.92% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.26% ( | 25.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.33% ( | 60.67% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.67% ( | 35.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.91% ( | 72.09% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 12.34% ( 2-1 @ 8.71% 2-0 @ 8.37% 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 3-0 @ 3.79% 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.2% Total : 44.03% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 9.09% ( 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.24% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( 1-2 @ 6.68% 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 1-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 2.07% Total : 28.72% |