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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 37.06% ( | 26.45% ( | 36.48% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.9% ( | 52.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.17% ( | 73.82% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.77% ( | 27.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.35% ( | 62.64% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.43% ( | 27.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.91% ( | 63.08% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.76% ( 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 2-0 @ 6.35% ( 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 3-0 @ 2.75% ( 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 4-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.02% Total : 37.06% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 3-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 9.67% ( 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0-2 @ 6.23% ( 1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0-3 @ 2.68% ( 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 1-4 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 36.48% |