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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 50.14%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 24.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Newport County win it was 1-0 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Bradford City |
| 24.41% ( | 25.44% ( | 50.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.93% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.08% ( | 52.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.47% ( | 74.53% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.3% ( | 36.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.51% ( | 73.48% ( |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.87% ( | 21.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.03% ( | 53.96% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Bradford City |
| 1-0 @ 7.77% 2-1 @ 6.06% ( 2-0 @ 3.9% ( 3-1 @ 2.02% ( 3-2 @ 1.57% ( 3-0 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 1.79% Total : 24.41% | 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 7.75% ( 2-2 @ 4.71% ( Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 12.05% ( 1-2 @ 9.39% 0-2 @ 9.37% ( 1-3 @ 4.87% 0-3 @ 4.86% ( 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 1-4 @ 1.89% 0-4 @ 1.89% ( 2-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 50.14% |