COSAFA Cup
Jul 10, 2023 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Princess Magogo Stadium
  • goal Neo Mokhachane 34'

Mozambique vs Lesotho - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mozambique

All competitions
COSAFA Cup
Last game
Jul 7, 2023 5.00pm
Mozambique 1 - 1 Angola

Lesotho

All competitions
COSAFA Cup
Last game
Jul 7, 2023 2.00pm
Mauritius 0 - 2 Lesotho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 45.55%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 24.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.29%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result

Mozambique 45.55% (+0.25)
Draw 29.82% (-0.11)
Lesotho 24.62% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.87% (+0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 32.81% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 67.19% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 14.61% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 85.39% (-0.14)
Over 4.5 5.42% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 94.57% (-0.08)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5 70.21% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 29.79% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 34.13% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 65.86% (-0.29)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5 55.36% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 44.63% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 19.36% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 80.64% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Mozambique 45.55%
Draw 29.81%
Lesotho 24.62%
Mozambique
1-0 @ 16.1% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.75% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 7.87% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.94% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.18% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.28% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.19% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 45.55%
Draw
0-0 @ 13.29% (-0.11)
1-1 @ 12.98% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.17% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 29.81%
Lesotho
0-1 @ 10.72% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 5.24% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.33% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 24.62%