COSAFA Cup | Group Stage

Jul 10, 2023 at 5pm UK

Princess Magogo Stadium

Mozambique
0 - 1
Lesotho

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mokhachane (34')

Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Mozambique and Lesotho.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mozambique

Last Game: Mozambique 1-1 Angola
Friday, July 7 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

Last Game: Mauritius 0-2 Lesotho
Friday, July 7 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 45.55%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 24.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.29%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Mozambique	Draw	Lesotho
45.55% ( 0.25)	29.82% ( -0.1)	24.62% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 38.87% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.81% (

0.2)

67.19% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.61% (

0.14)

85.39% (

-0.14)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.21% (

0.24)

29.79% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.13% (

0.29)

65.86% (

-0.29)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.36% (

-0.02)

44.63% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.36% (

-0.01)

80.64% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Mozambique 45.55%

Lesotho 24.62%

Draw 29.81%

Mozambique	Draw	Lesotho
1-0 @ 16.1% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.29% Total : 45.55%	0-0 @ 13.29% ( -0.1) 1-1 @ 12.98% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.37% Total : 29.81%	0-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 24.62%