COSAFA Cup | Group Stage

Jul 7, 2023 at 5pm UK

King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium

Mozambique
1 - 1
Angola

Antonio (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Benarfa (3')

Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Mozambique and Angola.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mozambique

Last Game: Rwanda 0-2 Mozambique
Sunday, June 18 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Angola

All competitions

Last Game: CAR 1-2 Angola
Saturday, June 17 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	4	7
2	Tunisia	3	0	3
3	Angola	3	-1	2
4	Mauritania	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 46.59%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 24.46%.

The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.83%) and 1-2 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Mozambique win it was 1-0 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Mozambique	Draw	Angola
24.46% ( -0.16)	28.95% ( 0.3)	46.59% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 40.75% (

-0.85)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.21% (

-1)

64.79% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.26% (

-0.71)

83.74% (

0.71)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.64% (

-0.74)

43.36% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.4% (

-0.62)

79.6% (

0.62)

Angola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.94% (

-0.55)

28.06% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.29% (

-0.7)

63.71% (

0.71)

Score Analysis

Mozambique 24.46%

Angola 46.58%

Draw 28.94%

Mozambique	Draw	Angola
1-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.01% Total : 24.46%	1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.43% Total : 28.94%	0-1 @ 15.46% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 9.83% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.56% Total : 46.58%