Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 17, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade de la Reunification

CAR
1 - 2
Angola

Kondogbia (46')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gaspar (12'), Milson (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Central African Republic and Angola, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central African Republic

Last Game: CAR 2-0 Madagascar
Monday, March 27 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Angola

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Angola 1-1 Ghana
Monday, March 27 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	4	7
2	Tunisia	3	0	3
3	Angola	3	-1	2
4	Mauritania	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 74.42%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 7.65%.

The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (16.05%) and 0-3 (11.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 1-0 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angola would win this match.

Result
Central African Republic	Draw	Angola
7.65% ( -0.54)	17.92% ( -1.23)	74.42% ( 1.77)

Both teams to score 33.9% (

0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.95% (

2.9)

53.04% (

-2.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.37% (

2.41)

74.63% (

-2.41)

Central African Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

38.85% (

0.44)

61.15% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.77% (

0.22)

91.23% (

-0.22)

Angola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.26% (

1.42)

12.74% (

-1.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.01% (

2.85)

38.99% (

-2.85)

Score Analysis

Central African Republic 7.66%

Angola 74.4%

Draw 17.92%

Central African Republic	Draw	Angola
1-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.94% Total : 7.66%	1-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.37) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.93) 2-2 @ 2% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.24% Total : 17.92%	0-2 @ 16.53% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 16.05% ( -0.99) 0-3 @ 11.35% ( 0.5) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 5.85% ( 0.54) 1-3 @ 5.59% ( 0.32) 1-4 @ 2.88% ( 0.31) 0-5 @ 2.41% ( 0.34) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.1) 1-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.18) Other @ 3.05% Total : 74.4%