Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 62.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 12.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 0-1 with a probability of 19.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.06%) and 1-2 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.17%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 1-0 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.