Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 27, 2023 at 2pm UK

CAR
2 - 0
Madagascar

Mafouta (40', 82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Central African Republic and Madagascar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central African Republic

Last Game: Madagascar 0-3 CAR
Thursday, March 23 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Madagascar

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Madagascar 0-3 CAR
Thursday, March 23 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Madagascar	3	3	7
2	Nigeria	3	0	6
3	Guinea	3	1	4
4	Burundi	3	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 62.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 12.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 0-1 with a probability of 19.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.06%) and 1-2 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.17%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 1-0 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Central African Republic	Draw	Madagascar
12.31% ( 0.07)	24.72% ( 0.13)	62.97% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 32.73% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.19% (

-0.24)

64.81% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.24% (

-0.17)

83.76% (

0.18)

Central African Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

41.3% (

-0.03)

58.7% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.03% (

-0.01)

89.97% (

0.02)

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.26% (

-0.17)

20.74% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.63% (

-0.28)

53.37% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Central African Republic 12.31%

Madagascar 62.96%

Draw 24.72%

Central African Republic	Draw	Madagascar
1-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 2.72% ( 0) 2-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.37% Total : 12.31%	0-0 @ 12.17% ( 0.11) 1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.72%	0-1 @ 19.15% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 15.06% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 7.9% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.21% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 3.11% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.76% Total : 62.96%