African Nations Championship
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Jean Yves Razafindrakoto
89'
Niger vs Madagascar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Niger win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Madagascar had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Niger win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.88%) and 2-1 (7.86%). The likeliest Madagascar win was 0-1 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Madagascar in this match.
Result
Niger
39.97%
Draw
29.18%
Madagascar
30.85%
Both Teams to Score:
43.65%
Goals
Over 2.5
37.03%
Under 2.5
62.96%
Over 3.5
17.56%
Under 3.5
82.44%
Niger Goals
Over 0.5
69.19%
Under 0.5
30.81%
Over 1.5
32.91%
Under 1.5
67.08%
Madagascar Goals
Over 0.5
63.1%
Under 0.5
36.9%
Over 1.5
26.31%
Under 1.5
73.69%
Score analysis
Niger
39.96%
Draw
29.17%
Madagascar
30.85%
Niger
1-0
@
13.38%
2-0 @ 7.88%
2-1 @ 7.86%
3-0 @ 3.09%
3-1 @ 3.08%
3-2 @ 1.54%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 39.96%
2-0 @ 7.88%
2-1 @ 7.86%
3-0 @ 3.09%
3-1 @ 3.08%
3-2 @ 1.54%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 39.96%
Draw
1-1
@
13.34%
0-0 @ 11.36%
2-2 @ 3.92%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 29.17%
0-0 @ 11.36%
2-2 @ 3.92%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 29.17%
Madagascar
0-1
@
11.33%
1-2 @ 6.65%
0-2 @ 5.65%
1-3 @ 2.21%
0-3 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 30.85%
1-2 @ 6.65%
0-2 @ 5.65%
1-3 @ 2.21%
0-3 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 30.85%