African Nations Championship | Quarter-Finals

Jan 28, 2023 at 7pm UK

Niger
2 - 0
Ghana

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's African Nations Championship clash between Niger and Ghana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Niger

All competitions

African Nations Championship

Last Game: Niger 1-0 Cameroon
Tuesday, January 24 at 7pm in African Nations Championship

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ghana	3	4	7
2	Mali	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Niger	3	-4	1

Ghana

All competitions

African Nations Championship

Last Game: Ghana 3-1 Sudan
Thursday, January 19 at 7pm in African Nations Championship

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	2	6
2	South Korea	3	0	4
3	Uruguay	3	0	4
4	Ghana	3	-2	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Niger had a probability of 20.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.85%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Niger win it was 1-0 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Niger	Draw	Ghana
20.83% ( 0.14)	25.81% ( -0.02)	53.36% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 44.82% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.48% (

0.19)

57.52% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.69% (

0.15)

78.31% (

-0.16)

Niger Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.2% (

0.27)

42.8% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.88% (

0.23)

79.12% (

-0.23)

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.36% (

0.02)

21.64% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.23% (

0.04)

54.76% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Niger 20.83%

Ghana 53.35%

Draw 25.81%

Niger	Draw	Ghana
1-0 @ 7.86% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.04% Total : 20.83%	1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.61% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 14.17% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 10.85% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.54% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 53.35%