Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 23, 2023 1.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Isaac Ngoma 36'
  • goal Louis Mafouta 45'
  • goal Louis Mafouta 79'

Madagascar vs Central African Republic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Madagascar

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 5, 2022 2.00pm
Madagascar 1 - 1 Angola

Central African Republic

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 5, 2022 2.00pm
CAR 1 - 1 Ghana

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 52.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 20.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result

Madagascar 52.33% (+0.03)
Draw 27.21% (+0.15)
Central African Republic 20.46% (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.89% (-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.58% (-0.59)
Under 2.5 62.42% (+0.59)
Over 3.5 17.96% (-0.43)
Under 3.5 82.04% (+0.44)

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5 75.82% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 24.18% (+0.26)
Over 1.5 41.49% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 58.51% (+0.36)

Central African Republic Goals

Over 0.5 53.93% (-0.53)
Under 0.5 46.07% (+0.54)
Over 1.5 18.22% (-0.42)
Under 1.5 81.78% (+0.42)

Score analysis

Madagascar 52.31%
Draw 27.2%
Central African Republic 20.46%
Madagascar
1-0 @ 15.81% (+0.24)
2-0 @ 11.22% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 5.31%
3-1 @ 4.12% (-0.07)
4-0 @ 1.89% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 52.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 11.14% (+0.25)
2-2 @ 3.37% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 27.2%
Central African Republic
0-1 @ 8.63% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 4.75% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 3.35% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.23% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 20.46%