Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 18, 2023 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Huye
  • goal Geny Catamo 43'
  • goal Clesio Bauque 90'+4'

Rwanda vs Mozambique - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rwanda

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Mar 29, 2023 2.00pm
Rwanda 1 - 1 Benin

Mozambique

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Mar 28, 2023 5.00pm
Mozambique 0 - 1 Senegal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Mozambique had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.53%) and 2-1 (7.38%). The likeliest Mozambique win was 0-1 (12.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result

Rwanda 37.94% (+0.18)
Draw 30.11% (+1.27)
Mozambique 31.95% (-1.44)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.56% (-3.61)

Goals

Over 2.5 34.35% (-4.25)
Under 2.5 65.65% (+4.25)
Over 3.5 15.66% (-3.05)
Under 3.5 84.34% (+3.05)
Over 4.5 5.96% (-1.65)
Under 4.5 94.04% (+1.65)

Rwanda Goals

Over 0.5 66.55% (-2.10)
Under 0.5 33.44% (+2.10)
Over 1.5 29.92% (-2.36)
Under 1.5 70.07% (+2.37)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5 62.44% (-3.35)
Under 0.5 37.56% (+3.35)
Over 1.5 25.66% (-3.43)
Under 1.5 74.34% (+3.44)

Score analysis

Rwanda 37.93%
Draw 30.1%
Mozambique 31.95%
Rwanda
1-0 @ 13.75% (+1.32)
2-0 @ 7.53% (+0.32)
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.37)
3-0 @ 2.75% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.69% (-0.30)
3-2 @ 1.32% (-0.29)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 37.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.47% (+0.14)
0-0 @ 12.56% (+1.84)
2-2 @ 3.61% (-0.54)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 30.1%
Mozambique
0-1 @ 12.3% (+0.81)
1-2 @ 6.6% (-0.56)
0-2 @ 6.02% (-0.15)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.41)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.24)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.31)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 31.95%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 2, 2022 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT FNB Stadium
  • Stanley Ratifo 67' goal
  • Geny Catamo 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Blaise Nishimwe 65'
  • yellowcard Fitina Omborenga 88'