Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 29, 2023 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Thierry Manzi 71' goal
  • goal Jodel Dossou 57'

Rwanda vs Benin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rwanda

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Mar 22, 2023 4.00pm
Benin 1 - 1 Rwanda

Benin

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Mar 22, 2023 4.00pm
Benin 1 - 1 Rwanda

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 36.31%. A win for Benin had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.31%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Benin win was 0-1 (12.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result

Rwanda 36.31% (-0.87)
Draw 29.76% (+0.14)
Benin 33.92% (+0.73)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.71% (-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5 35.6% (-0.38)
Under 2.5 64.39% (+0.38)
Over 3.5 16.53% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 83.46% (+0.27)
Over 4.5 6.42% (-0.15)
Under 4.5 93.57% (+0.15)

Rwanda Goals

Over 0.5 66.16% (-0.76)
Under 0.5 33.83% (+0.76)
Over 1.5 29.5% (-0.83)
Under 1.5 70.49% (+0.83)

Benin Goals

Over 0.5 64.55% (+0.31)
Under 0.5 35.44% (-0.32)
Over 1.5 27.79% (+0.32)
Under 1.5 72.2% (-0.33)

Score analysis

Rwanda 36.3%
Draw 29.76%
Benin 33.92%
Rwanda
1-0 @ 12.99% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 7.31% (-0.14)
2-0 @ 7.04% (-0.20)
3-1 @ 2.64% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 2.54% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 1.37% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 36.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.47% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 11.99% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 3.79% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.76%
Benin
0-1 @ 12.43% (+0.27)
1-2 @ 6.99% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 6.45% (+0.20)
1-3 @ 2.42% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.23% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 33.92%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 22, 2023 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Steve Mounie 82' goal
  • goal Gilbert Mugisha 13'