Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 36.31%. A win for Benin had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.31%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Benin win was 0-1 (12.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.