Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 28, 2023 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Boulaye Dia 18'

Mozambique vs Senegal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mozambique

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Mar 24, 2023 7.00pm
Senegal 5 - 1 Mozambique

Senegal

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Mar 24, 2023 7.00pm
Senegal 5 - 1 Mozambique

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 63.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 12.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.5%) and 1-2 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.47%), while for a Mozambique win it was 1-0 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 17.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Senegal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Senegal.

Result

Mozambique 12.85% (+0.01)
Draw 23.64% (-0.14)
Senegal 63.51% (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

36.22% (+0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.23% (+0.43)
Under 2.5 60.77% (-0.42)
Over 3.5 19.18% (+0.32)
Under 3.5 80.82% (-0.32)
Over 4.5 7.87% (+0.18)
Under 4.5 92.13% (-0.18)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5 44.68% (+0.27)
Under 0.5 55.32% (-0.26)
Over 1.5 11.93% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 88.07% (-0.16)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5 81.06% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 18.94% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 49.55% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 50.45% (-0.35)

Score analysis

Mozambique 12.85%
Draw 23.63%
Senegal 63.5%
Mozambique
1-0 @ 6.2% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 3.06% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 1.84%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 12.85%
Draw
0-0 @ 10.47% (-0.17)
1-1 @ 10.32% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.54% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.63%
Senegal
0-1 @ 17.43% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 14.5% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.59% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 8.05% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.76% (+0.06)
0-4 @ 3.35% (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.98% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.41% (+0.03)
0-5 @ 1.11% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 63.5%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 24, 2023 7.00pm
5
1
HT : 4 0
FT
  • Youssouf Sabaly 9' goal
  • Sadio Mane 15' goal
  • Iliman Ndiaye 32' goal
  • Boulaye Dia 39' goal
  • Habib Diallo 88' goal
  • goal Gildo Vilanculos 48'
COSAFA Cup
Jul 17, 2022 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Moses Mabhida Stadium
  • Foia 36' yellowcard
  • Lau King 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Alasan Faye 25'
  • yellowcard Elhadj Mane 60'
  • goal Jean Diouf 78'
  • yellowcard Jean Diouf 88'
COSAFA Cup
Jul 9, 2021 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
  • El Hadji Madicke Kane 15' yellowcard
  • P 63' goal
  • W 82' yellowcard
  • M 86' yellowcard