Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
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-
Youssouf M'Changama
90'
Lesotho vs Comoros - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lesotho win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Comoros had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lesotho win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Comoros win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Comoros in this match.
Result
Lesotho
38.73%
▲
(+1.61)
Draw
26.76%
▼
(-1.31)
Comoros
34.51%
▼
(-0.31)
Both Teams to Score:
51.54%
▲
(+3.98)
Goals
Over 2.5
46.48%
▲
(+5.01)
Under 2.5
53.52%
▼
(-5.01)
Over 3.5
24.97%
▲
(+4.07)
Under 3.5
75.03%
▼
(-4.07)
Over 4.5
11.34%
▲
(+2.48)
Under 4.5
88.66%
▼
(-2.48)
Lesotho Goals
Over 0.5
73.06%
▲
(+3.36)
Under 0.5
26.94%
▼
(-3.36)
Over 1.5
37.73%
▲
(+4.21)
Under 1.5
62.27%
▼
(-4.21)
Comoros Goals
Over 0.5
70.54%
▲
(+2.32)
Under 0.5
29.46%
▼
(-2.32)
Over 1.5
34.54%
▲
(+2.74)
Under 1.5
65.46%
▼
(-2.74)
Score analysis
Lesotho
38.73%
Draw
26.76%
Comoros
34.51%
Lesotho
1-0
@
10.4%
▼
(-1.09)
2-1 @ 8.34% ▲ (+0.48)
2-0 @ 6.83% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.52)
3-0 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.26)
3-2 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.44)
4-1 @ 1.2% ▼ (-92.31)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 38.73%
2-1 @ 8.34% ▲ (+0.48)
2-0 @ 6.83% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.52)
3-0 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.26)
3-2 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.44)
4-1 @ 1.2% ▼ (-92.31)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 38.73%
Draw
1-1
@
12.72%
▼
(-0.45)
0-0 @ 7.94% ▼ (-1.69)
2-2 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.59)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 26.76%
0-0 @ 7.94% ▼ (-1.69)
2-2 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.59)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 26.76%
Comoros
0-1
@
9.7%
▼
(-1.34)
1-2 @ 7.78% ▲ (+0.22)
0-2 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.41)
1-3 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.28)
0-3 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.36)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 34.51%
1-2 @ 7.78% ▲ (+0.22)
0-2 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.41)
1-3 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.28)
0-3 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.36)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 34.51%
