Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 26, 2023 at 2pm UK
Lesotho0 - 2Zambia
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Lesotho and Zambia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Zambia 3-1 Lesotho
Thursday, March 23 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Thursday, March 23 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 54.76%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.17%) and 1-2 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Lesotho win it was 1-0 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zambia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lesotho | Draw | Zambia |
18.21% ( 0.06) | 27.03% ( 0.07) | 54.76% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 38.36% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
