Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 28, 2023 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Ibrahim Sangare 36'
  • goal Franck Kessie 58'

Comoros vs Ivory Coast - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Comoros

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Mar 24, 2023 4.00pm
Ivory Coast 3 - 1 Comoros

Ivory Coast

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Mar 24, 2023 4.00pm
Ivory Coast 3 - 1 Comoros

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 60.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 13.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 18.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.26%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.3%), while for a Comoros win it was 1-0 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.

Result

Comoros 13.82% (-0.07)
Draw 25.61% (+0.15)
Ivory Coast 60.57% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

34.08% (-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5 34.9% (-0.50)
Under 2.5 65.1% (+0.50)
Over 3.5 16.04% (-0.36)
Under 3.5 83.96% (+0.35)
Over 4.5 6.16% (-0.19)
Under 4.5 93.84% (+0.19)

Comoros Goals

Over 0.5 43.59% (-0.40)
Under 0.5 56.41% (+0.40)
Over 1.5 11.29% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 88.71% (+0.23)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5 78.18% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 21.82% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 44.96% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 55.03% (+0.38)

Score analysis

Comoros 13.82%
Draw 25.6%
Ivory Coast 60.56%
Comoros
1-0 @ 7.05% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 3.07% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 2.02% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 13.82%
Draw
0-0 @ 12.3% (+0.23)
1-1 @ 10.72% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 2.34% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 25.6%
Ivory Coast
0-1 @ 18.73% (+0.20)
0-2 @ 14.26% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 7.24% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.14% (-0.07)
0-4 @ 2.76% (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 60.56%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 24, 2023 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Christian Kouame 29' goal
  • Sebastien Haller 61' goal
  • Jean-Philippe Krasso 89' goal
  • goal Ibroihim Youssouf 90'+3'
International Friendlies
Jun 7, 2019 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Wilfried Bony 40' goal
  • Wilfried Bony 59' goal
  • Kassim Abdallah 90' goal
  • goal Youssouf M'Changama 94'