Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 60.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 13.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 18.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.26%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.3%), while for a Comoros win it was 1-0 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.