COSAFA Cup
Jul 7, 2023 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium
  • goal Neo Mokhachane 15'
  • goal Sera Motebang 90'+2'

Mauritius vs Lesotho - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mauritius

All competitions

Lesotho

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lesotho win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Mauritius had a probability of 23.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lesotho win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Mauritius win it was 1-0 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lesotho would win this match.

Result

Mauritius 23.57% (-0.36)
Draw 25.51% (-0.09)
Lesotho 50.92% (+0.44)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.86% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.11% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 53.89% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 24.65% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 75.35% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 11.14% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 88.86% (-0.02)

Mauritius Goals

Over 0.5 61.99% (-0.31)
Under 0.5 38% (+0.31)
Over 1.5 25.23% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 74.77% (+0.30)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5 78.81% (+0.21)
Under 0.5 21.19% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 45.93% (+0.32)
Under 1.5 54.07% (-0.32)

Score analysis

Mauritius 23.57%
Draw 25.5%
Lesotho 50.91%
Mauritius
1-0 @ 7.79% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 5.85% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 3.77% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 1.89% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.46% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.22% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 23.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.08% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 8.05% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.5%
Lesotho
0-1 @ 12.49% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 9.69% (+0.11)
1-2 @ 9.38% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 5.01% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 4.85% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.35% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.95% (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.88% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 50.91%

Head to Head

COSAFA Cup
Jul 8, 2022 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium
  • Tumelo Makha 10' goal
  • Jane Thaba-Ntso 72' goal
  • Tsepo Toloane 87' yellowcard
  • goal Jacques Gordy Hansley Prosper 50'