Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lesotho win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Mauritius had a probability of 23.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lesotho win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Mauritius win it was 1-0 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lesotho would win this match.