COSAFA Cup | Group Stage

Jul 7, 2023 at 2pm UK

King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium

Mauritius
0 - 2
Lesotho

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mokhachane (15'), Motebang (90+2')

Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Mauritius and Lesotho.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mauritius

Last Game: Mauritius 1-0 Kenya
Sunday, June 18 at 12.30pm in International Friendlies

Lesotho

Last Game: Lesotho 0-1 Comoros
Saturday, June 17 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lesotho win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Mauritius had a probability of 23.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lesotho win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Mauritius win it was 1-0 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lesotho would win this match.

Result
Mauritius	Draw	Lesotho
23.57% ( -0.35)	25.51% ( -0.09)	50.92% ( 0.44)

Both teams to score 48.86% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.11% (

0.04)

53.89% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.65% (

0.03)

75.35% (

-0.03)

Mauritius Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.99% (

-0.3)

38% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.23% (

-0.29)

74.77% (

0.3)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.81% (

0.2)

21.19% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.93% (

0.31)

54.07% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Mauritius 23.57%

Lesotho 50.91%

Draw 25.5%

Mauritius	Draw	Lesotho
1-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.6% Total : 23.57%	1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.5%	0-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.01% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.85% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 50.91%