Friendlies 1

Jun 18, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

Anjalay Stadium

Mauritius
1 - 0
Kenya

Saramandif (22')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between Mauritius and Kenya, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mauritius

Last Game: Djibouti 3-1 Mauritius
Wednesday, June 14 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies

Kenya

All competitions

Last Game: Kenya 1-0 Pakistan
Wednesday, June 14 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Algeria	3	6	9
2	Senegal	3	4	6
3	Kenya	3	-4	3
4	Tanzania	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritius win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Kenya had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mauritius win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Kenya win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mauritius in this match.

Result
Mauritius	Draw	Kenya
42.02% ( 13.86)	26.49% ( 1.61)	31.49% ( -15.47)

Both teams to score 51.58% (

-3.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.9% (

-5.14)

53.09% (

5.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.32% (

-4.55)

74.67% (

4.54)

Mauritius Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.01% (

24.98% (

-6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.36% (

7.65)

59.64% (

-7.65)

Kenya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.76% (

-10.77)

31.24% (

10.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.41% (

-14.65)

67.58% (

14.64)

Score Analysis

Mauritius 42.01%

Kenya 31.49%

Draw 26.48%

Mauritius	Draw	Kenya
1-0 @ 10.82% ( 3.39) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 1.83) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( 3.15) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( 1.34) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( 1.77) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.61) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.71) Other @ 2.49% Total : 42.01%	1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.81) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( 1.46) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.4) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.48%	0-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.98) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( -2.02) 0-2 @ 5.28% ( -2.7) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -2.1) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( -2.17) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.93) Other @ 2.94% Total : 31.49%