/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fugalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fkenlog.png)
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Timothy Awany
61'
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Fahad Bayo
89'
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Yunus Sentamu
90'+2'
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Michael Olunga
62'
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David Ochieng
76'
Uganda vs Kenya - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 44.65%. A win for Kenya had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Kenya win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result
Uganda
44.65%
Draw
27.04%
Kenya
28.3%
Both Teams to Score:
48.36%
Goals
Over 2.5
43.51%
Under 2.5
56.48%
Over 3.5
22.52%
Under 3.5
77.48%
Uganda Goals
Over 0.5
74.82%
Under 0.5
25.18%
Over 1.5
40.1%
Under 1.5
59.9%
Kenya Goals
Over 0.5
64.63%
Under 0.5
35.36%
Over 1.5
27.87%
Under 1.5
72.12%
Score analysis
Uganda
44.65%
Draw
27.04%
Kenya
28.3%
Uganda
1-0
@
12.28%
2-1 @ 8.8%
2-0 @ 8.47%
3-1 @ 4.05%
3-0 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 2.1%
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-0 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 44.65%
2-1 @ 8.8%
2-0 @ 8.47%
3-1 @ 4.05%
3-0 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 2.1%
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-0 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 44.65%
Draw
1-1
@
12.76%
0-0 @ 8.9%
2-2 @ 4.58%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.04%
0-0 @ 8.9%
2-2 @ 4.58%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.04%
Kenya
0-1
@
9.25%
1-2 @ 6.63%
0-2 @ 4.81%
1-3 @ 2.3%
0-3 @ 1.67%
2-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 28.3%
1-2 @ 6.63%
0-2 @ 4.81%
1-3 @ 2.3%
0-3 @ 1.67%
2-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 28.3%